DUBIE LOSES 

David Mace of the Vermont Press bureau contributed a tome to Seven Days, eight pages and 3500 words. "Estranged Bedfellows" memorialized the common belief of fellow travelers in its third paragraph. "Pollina got 25 percent…Shumlin won 32 percent... Dubie had gotten roughly the same 41 percent as two years earlier. Alone, either man likely would have beaten Dubie."

On we read for over 3,000 words looking for some analysis. But no, none, just whimpering. "Shumlin said, 'I've had hundreds of liberal-leaning Democrats who voted for Pollina call me up and apologize for making a mistake'" Okay, give that man not hundreds but thousands of votes, say 10,000. He still loses by 10,000 votes. 

DUBIE SPEAKS 

Did Mace ask Lieutenant Governor Brian Dubie or his staff for their opinion? Nope. We did. "We had a vote goal, we targeted twenty-nine towns that we had to win and we won twenty-seven of them. People are asking the fifty percent question. Our vote total was within 900 votes of our projections which we made nine months ago."

"We did the math. Our analysis showed that in the Northeast Kingdom for example, Anthony Pollina got votes we would have received in a two-person race. We confidently think that I would have gone over fifty percent in a two-person race. We did the analysis of the vote. For anyone who thinks that the outcome would have been different in a two person race, we confidently think otherwise." 

DUBIE WINS 

In 1988, Dwyer received 41.1 percent of the vote, Republican Congressional candidate Mark Candon 32.8 percent. The results were almost identical in 2002; Dubie received 41.2 percent of the vote and Meub 32.2 percent. Twenty five percent of the folks who voted for conservative Dwyer or Dubie must have voted for socialist Bernie.

It did not naturally compute for us so we called our Northeast Kingdom expert where this typical vote splitting goes on, the right Reverend Jane Dwinell of the Unitarian Universalist Church in Derby Line, liberal activist and Sanders supporter and sister of your editor, and asked for her explanation.

"It is amazing to me too. Those folks are the ones who drive their pick-up trucks, gun rack filled, to town meeting, and vote against everything. They are against big government. Bernie is against big business. I guess it is all bad to them. So they vote Bernie year in and year out."

Would they vote for Shumlin? We don't reckon so. 

WELL, WHICH IS IT? 

Elizabeth Courtney, executive director of the Vermont Natural Resources Council and former Chair of the Vermont Environmental Board, said of Pat Moulton Powden’s appointment to her old job, "she is a pragmatist who would do a good job of balancing competing interests."

Then, days later, she popped off; "This is the last straw. Laroche is anti-wilderness, anti-Champion, and... anti-environmental." Secretary of the Agency of Natural Resources Wibs McLain then said when asked if she had worked with any of the environmental groups in putting together the new permitting reform bill, "Elizabeth Courtney was very helpful. We accepted and used many of her suggestions." She mentioned no other by name. 

GOT MILK? 

Representative Greg Clark, R-Vergennes, is upset that some school districts have replaced local milk suppliers with out-of-state producers. He wants to do something about that: legislation requiring Vermont schools to buy Vermont milk. As writer Michael Colby so elegantly put it in Seven Days this week, "we have taken 'culture' out of agriculture."

There ought to be a culture here in Vermont to support each other. Legislation probably is not the way. As one legislator pointed out, "We went to the Farm Show last week. There was an aisle of small milk containers, all produced out-of-state by Weeks Dairy. If the Farm Bureau cannot get Vermont milk for its own farm show, why should we legislate that schools must."

Full story here: http://www.sevendaysvt.com/-thisweek/col/leftfield.html 

LAWBREAKERS 

Tax Commissioner Richard Mallary appeared this week before the House Ways and Means Committee to offer a small bit of legislation to change our policy from paying interest on refunds from amended returns to not. Another tax increase. The committee yawned.

Then Mallary mentioned that an item in the Budget Adjustment Act was to account for the Tax Department’s not paying interest on refunds since October. He said that Dean's Commissioner Janet Ancel decided that in order for the state to "save" a little money that they would break the law and not include interest on refunds. Now let’s forget all that and make it legal.

As some were trying to pull newcomer and Snelling Tax Commissioner Joyce Errecart, R-Shelburne, off the ceiling, the rest yawned. Representative Judge Amidon, R-Charlotte, who should know something about obeying the law, shrugged, same with attorney Representative Bud Otterman, R-Topsham. The press were reportedly there too but it was of no interest to anyone. Our Tax Commissoner decides to break the law to put a few extra bucks in the poor state’s coffers. Business as usual. 

IT’S BROKE 

We mentioned the Ways and Means Chair Richard Marron, R-Stowe, last week and he took his shot at us as you will read in the letters section. But there is something wrong with the mindset of this committee. There is not an understanding that we are overtaxed; according to the governor, the highest taxed folks in the land as compared to income. Maybe the Speaker needs to pay more attention.

The attitude can best be summed up by this quote. "We’re spending too much money. We need to find another way to raise it." Wrong. 

THANK YOU REVELERS 

Those party-crazed Republicans, danced all night, raised $32,500 for Substance Abuse Program and toted half a ton of food for the food bank. There go those heartless guys and gals again. 

NOW THEY TELL US 

Flyer flops, Dean's fleecing of America. According to the Burlington Free Press, estimated costs were: $4 million; actual $14.9 million. Estimated operating cost: $995,000; actual $2.6 million. Estimated passengers: 214,562; actual 82,811. And Ironhorse Dean wants America to be like Vermont, his way. 

WHAT’S UP WITH DEAN? 

Did he think that we were nuts? Why wear a bulletproof vest? Seven Days's Peter Freyne said that his email burned with fire and brimstone after his "Taliban" comments. Did he wear a bulletproof vest on his treks through Burlington? No.

Why did Dean seal his records? To keep them from the opposition research teams? Ain’t he proud of all he did? 

OUR WALDO 

First we could not find Waldo, now we can't miss him. In Roll Call, a Capitol Hill rag, Stuart Rothenberg wrote of our dearly departed quote machine.

"Dean, like the state's at-large Congressman, Independent Bernie Sanders, originally hails from New York, and it shows. In style, he's like a freight train. And it's only a slight exaggeration to say that he has the personal warmth of an empty fireplace on a frigid night in Novosibirsk.

"Confident to the point that some people will see arrogance, and so certain about his prescriptions that many will regard him as inflexible, Dean will need to overcome the fact that voters prefer their presidents to be likable, empathetic, even charming. Instead, he almost appears angry."

On Saddam, "Dean says he is leading the fight against war with Iraq because President Bush hasn't made the case for war. Of course, adds the former governor, he'd give Saddam Hussein an ultimatum if he thought Iraq really did have weapons of mass destruction. So he doesn't believe Iraq has those weapons? No, he does believe they do. But Bush hasn't made the case. Understand?"

The national press love quote-man, just like our local press. But in the last Vermont poll, Bush trounced him. Now Dean says we are fighting the "wrong war." Maybe he wasn't listening, maybe he speaks French. We think the Secretary of State was persuasive in saying that Iraq has danced with al-Qaida in the past, is in the present, and will in the future. 

FRIENDLY’S 

Governor Douglas says so, well sort of. You cannot turn a ship around on a dime; same goes for the ship of state. DPR asked if he had visited the state agencies and their personnel to sell them on his customer service model. "No, but I plan to visit state agencies and meet employees who deal with the public. I am told that it is better already. A fellow told me that he called an agency with which he had regularly dealt in the past and received a far friendlier reception than ever before."

Here's a story: A company has been waiting since May, 2002 for a hearing on an unemployment compensation rate change with the potential to cost this small business thousands of dollars. Finally a hearing was scheduled in the middle of December but the referee was sick. Later it was rescheduled for New Year’s eve. The appellant had other plans. Could we not reschedule this? No way, so the appellant called in from a distance to participate by phone and lost.

His appeal was scheduled this Tuesday morning. There was an ice storm, the roads were bad. Could we not reschedule? No, the board is coming all the way in from Burlington and South Hero, you can too. Of course he did not ask if the fellow was coming from Beecher Falls or Bennington. In the Burlington-centric manner of the Dean administration, if folks can jump on the well-maintained I-89, you can drive over hill and dale and risk your neck. The witness refused to go.

Ah well. The fellow’s daughter was home sick. Would that justify a postponement? Why yes, it would. Mixed results on Friendly’s. 

THE CHEESE STANDS ALONE 

Years ago and far away, a friend took us to their local farmers’ market outside of Paris. "Look at all the cheeses," he said, "three-hundred and sixty-four different kinds. One more and we could have a different one every day."

Quite the selection. Nevertheless, the French are about to stand almost alone. President Bush and Secretary Powell made compelling arguments. The French foreign secretary followed Powell, reading from a prepared text about how well he had listened to all the evidence but was unconvinced. We were unconvinced that he listened all that hard since he was reading from a prepared text. We need process and patience he said. 

KA BOOM 

Did the French use process and patience when they blew Greenpeace’s Rainbow Warrior out of the Pacific Ocean, killing in the process? Did patience work in not intervening in the Rwanda-Burundi crisis allowing the neighbor-to-neighbor machete slaughter of 800,000 souls? Did they use process before jumping into Cote d'Ivoire just last month? Naw.

Now they want process. When they can bully, they do. When they can't, they want process to reflect in that afterglow of powerful days of yore. They want more inspections, as if they created them. How soon they forget that Saddam unceremoniously and illegally threw out the inspectors some years back. They are now only back because American forces are encircling his head like a wreath. 

HUMAN SACRIFICE 

Of all the speeches following Powell's that we heard, none thanked the "human sources" or the intelligence sources who risked their life and limb and those of their families to supply the intelligence and who, we can only hope, were not compromised by Powell’s testimony. No one seemed to recognize that it is for the most part the American men and women who stand at risk today to force the inspectors upon Saddam. No one seemed to recognize that it is the American taxpayer for the most part who is footing the bill to force the inspectors upon Saddam.

Jack Straw, foreign secretary for the United Kingdom, concluded, "This is a moment of choice for this institution, the United Nations... The League of Nations had the same fine ideals as the UN. But the League failed because it could not create actions from its words; so small evils went unchecked, tyrants became emboldened, then greater evils were unleashed. At each stage good men said wait; the evil is not big enough to challenge: then before their eyes, the evil became too big to challenge." 

HEADS BOWED SILENTLY 

The Columbia burned and crashed. All were lost. At rinks, stadiums and public gatherings across the land, people were asked to take a moment and bow their heads in memory of the loss. A picture in the Free Press caught the moment for many attending basketball at the Patrick Gymnasium, heads bowed in thoughts, reflections, or prayer.

All but one. Boston born Representative Mark Larson, D-Burlington, dominated the photograph, alone gazing about as the reverent moment passed quietly. Maybe he was looking for votes.

Couldn’t have been that this was a subtle editorial statement?

http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/bfpnews/news/sunday/toppic.jpg 

A TRUE SOCIALIST 

Bernie Sanders is a true socialist practicing revisionist history. On a recent Mark Johnson Show, Bernie said, "I always run as an independent."

A quick check of the records showed that he began his statewide office-seeking as a Liberty Union candidate. Hard to run as an independent until you have built up some name ID, as Con Hogan just found out. He went on to say that he approved of Mayor Clavelle’s gaining the Democrat nomination to prevent some "right-wing Republican from winning." Fat chance. The end now justifies the means for Bernie, like others before him once in power. 

A REVOLUTION 

Interestingly, in our search we noticed a revolution or sorts. There were virtually no votes for candidates other than the Democrat and Republican just a few years ago. In 1958, there were just three "scattering" votes, in 1960-16, in 1962-4, in 1964-12, in 1966-16, in 1968-46, in 1970-42, in 1972 (Bernie’s first year on the statewide ballot)-2,175, in 1974-7,629, and in 1976-11,317. The hippies had arrived.

By 2000, there were 34,055 non-traditional votes for governor. In 2002, there were 29,160 non-traditional votes for governor and another 60,990 for lieutenant governor. We have broken out of our shell and spread our wings. 

HAPPY BIRTHDAY 

Yup, the oldest President is now 92. He is not all with us, but his memory is, his words are, his genuineness is, and his common decency. "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall," and he did.

It was a marvel. Sixty percent of folks supported Fritz Mondale's polices but sixty percent voted for Reagan. One could travel to the four corners of this earth, present a political hypothesis and ask what a villager thought President Reagan would do. And they would know. He was clear, concise, and consistent. Someday maybe there will be a process to re-connect the neurons and he will be whole. Maybe not. What he does not remember, we do. Thank you, Mr. President. 

MAKE MY DAY 

Senator Patrick Leahy graced the pages of our great metropolitan daily discussing the possible filibuster of Miguel Estrada’s appointment to the United States Court of Appeals.

Advice is cheap. Except for junkies, no one paid much attention to Pat’s cameo as Chair of the Judiciary Committee where he slammed, assaulted, and slimed nominees. But do a filibuster and the Hispanic community which votes more often for the Democrats than Republicans will hear and understand that a big white Democrat bully is dissing brother Miguel Estrada. Maybe Pat should pick on another white guy if he wants a fight. 

SAINT PATRICK'S DISMISSAL DAY? 

A Washington Post poll finds that when respondents were "asked which party is more trusted to keep America safe, the Republican margin was 47 percent to 16 percent."

That is almost a three to one margin. Would that hurt Senator Patrick Leahy's reelection numbers? Hopefully but not probably. Not here... 

HEADLINES 

ALLIES UNCONVINCED --Burlington Free Press, January 30, 2003

EUROPEAN LEADERS DECLARE SUPPORTS FOR U.S. --Wall Street Journal, January 30, 2003

FACTS: NATO voted 15-4 to help the United States in Iraq, France Germany, Belgium and Luxembourg in the negative. 

WE HAVE A WRITER IN OUR MIDST 

The Sternberg of the Dwinell-Sternberg Political Report is about to be a published author. While Libby was supposed to be burning the midnight oil writing snippets of great mirth and cleverness for our readers’ enjoyment, she was instead writing a book for young women.

The book, Sadie’s Secrets, is targeting girls aged nine to thirteen. Bancroft Press, the publisher, is a small press located in Libby’s native Baltimore, the setting of the story. The release date will be in early April. It is the first in a mystery series featuring the protagonist, Bianca Balducci. When the book is released, people can purchase it on-line via the Dwinell Political Report's web site link to Amazon.com and earn us a quarter in the process.

So far, the book has received four great reviews - from Kirkus, BookList (the American Library Association), and Harriet's Book Reviews. Ms. Sternberg herself says, "I'm very excited and happy. The publisher is also trying to sell dramatic rights to Hollywood - and has had some interest from a few production companies - but that's always a long shot." We are very excited and happy to have known someone rich and famous! Congratulations.

For more detailed reviews and "pre-publication blurbs." Visit: http://www.DwinellPoliticalReport.com/Balducci.htm 

LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR DUBIE, LIEUTENANT GENERAL 

»» Dave Janawicz, Chief, Capitol Police, Vermont State House: You mentioned that Lieutenant Governor Brian Dubie is a full Colonel now (1-31-03). There is more to the story. The Vermont Constitution, Chapter II, Section 20 says the "Lieutenant Governor shall, by virtue of office, be Lieutenant-General of all the forces of the State". That's a 3-star General! 

»» John McClaughry, Kirby (Lt Col., Vermont State Guard): Actually, under our Constitution (Ch 2, sec 20), Lieutenant Governor Dubie is Lieutenant General of Militia. 

REVENGE PERHAPS, BUT NOT JUSTICE 

»» Herbert G. Ogden, Rutland: You are 100% right. If the meaning of American justice is to kill folks in Yemen by remote control, without a trial to determine whether those folks did anything punishable by death, then we'd better make sure the world never finds out the meaning of American justice. Bush is confusing the system of justice with the rules of war. Of course, Congress, which has the sole Constitutional power to declare war, hasn't declared war on anyone, so one could question whether the rules of war apply.

I also appreciated your warning about Bush's God-laden language in the State of the Union address. He should have considered how that looks to Muslims, even Muslim allies. Claiming God is on your side is no license to kill. The Nazi-led German troops who killed millions in World War II wore belt buckles proclaiming "Gott mit uns," which means "God [be] with us." 

»» Dick Drysdale, The Herald of Randolph: Congratulations on your two appropriate caveats on the presidents speech. The "justice" reference slipped by me, but I was very disappointed by the overly religious capstone at the end. 

»» Kelsey Bush Nadeau, Williston: [Your article "Crusades Anyone?"] disturbs me because you've done what you disparage in other journalists: you've taken this out of context. Here's the context: "We Americans have faith in ourselves, but not in ourselves alone. We do not know--we do not claim to know--all the ways of Providence, yet we can trust in them, placing our confidence in the loving God behind all of life, and all of history."

I'll take that part first: The President isn't saying that God is on our side in this conflict with Iraq--or North Korea. He's saying that we don't know the "ways of Providence". But "we can trust in them"...which means that we can trust God whatever the outcome, just as you pray for healing for a loved one's cancer, trusting in God, whether or not the loved one survives the disease. Our trust in God is not dependent on the outcome we look for, but on His overwhelming grace in all situations.

"...placing our confidence in the loving God behind all of life, and all of history": all of life, and all lives--American, Iraqi, Palestinian, Sudanese, North Korean, etc. As a practising Christian, President Bush believes that God is the God of all nations and of all peoples. And all of history, which informs us but is nonetheless interpreted by a million different people in as many ways. The President is not saying that God is behind a particular interpretation of history which lends credence to only Christians, Western civilization, or even Americans.

"May He guide us now." You are missing the most important things about this president: his faith and his humility. He isn't asking for God's help in mowing down all of Islam in order to establish the Cross in the Middle East. He is asking for guidance to make the right decisions. These are not idle words to him. Words do matter very much to him, but people matter more. These were not "loose lips".

But call it a crusade if you wish. A crusade to bring justice and freedom to oppressed people, as well as a crusade to avert a world war by restraining crazy dictators and showing them that we are paying attention. (On this, by the way, read Thomas Sowell's column "Disarming a Country"--1/30/03, in which he draws a parallel between what this administration is trying to do now to contain Sadaam Hussein and what England and France failed to do to restrain Germany as Hitler built up the military before WWII in defiance of the treaty of Versailles.)

Asking in humility for God's guidance means showing a willingness to abide by that guidance, whatever it may be. He is not saying: Guide our missiles and our guns to their targets. He is asking for God's guidance in helping him, the President, and all those involved in making these decisions, to do what is best for all concerned.

We used to be a people who had more than a passing acquaintance with prayer. We used to invoke God with humility and reverence, asking for His blessing because we knew we needed it not because we assumed we deserved it. We knew that without it we could accomplish very little but with it, to paraphrase St. Paul, anything is possible. When President Bush says, "May He guide us now. And may God continue to bless the United States of America," he's not posturing, he's asking for help. 

CLEARLY ON THE BUS 

»» Representative Richard Marron, Stowe: [Regarding the item "Off the Bus or On the Bus?" - Thursday, 1/30, 11:49 PM] Thanks James! At least I have run for election six times and won, which is more than I can say for you. The quote had nothing to do with the property tax reduction. It would be nice if you took the time to talk to me rather than condemn me based on the question of others. I am disappointed. I support the Governor and not only agree with him, but I will do my best to defend him. So I guess I am quite upset by your critical comments.

[Friday, 1/31 6:37 AM] Actually I was probably a bit harsh on you. It is not my policy to shoot the messenger. I intend to make it clear to the Governor that we don't have any real differences. In fact I defended his proposal on VOSHA and his property tax proposal at a legislative breakfast this week. Bartlett was there and she of course was critical of the Governor. I believe the media is trying to create a story. 

GOVERNMENT CHECKS DESTROY THE MARKETPLACE 

»» Allan R. Wylie, South Strafford: Both President Bush and Governor Douglas are quoted for there support of the government providing some aspect of health care. Where in the Constitution is the government assigned this responsibility? The government is supposed to provide the common defense and promote the common good, not the other way around.

While some view it as laudable to care for our fellow persons via the government checkbook, that amounts to an assignment of a personal responsibility to the government and that, by definition, is unhealthy!

Any economist who understands basic supply and demand knows that virtually all the present ills of the health care system can be traced to the abdication of personal responsibility in health care decisions. Look around the world for confirmation from socialized systems.

Do we really believe some bureaucrat in Washington or Montpelier can make a better decision about our families' health care than we can personally? Putting government in charge destroys competition and its companion, personal choice, and puts gobs of money at the disposal of politicians. Further, we are just humans! If someone else will do it for us, we'll generally roll over and let them, until we begin to see the cost.

Who would allow a politician or a bureaucrat to determine what kind of car (and I mean what color, what accessories, what model!) or what kind of housing (and I mean condominium, house, apartment, large, small, assisted living, etc., etc.) we are *permitted* to have? We make those decisions quite well and we can, if given the opportunity, make health care decisions quite well ourselves--certainly at *least* as well as a politician!

But then politicians don't think we are intelligent enough to decide what kind of car to drive or where it is good for us to live. 

NOT ALL EGGS ARE CREATED EQUAL 

»» Michael Ticehurst, Williston: In a recent newsletter, you pointed out something that I've been saying for years concerning the "crunchy" crowd: "They are in favor of killing the unborn but they oppose killing trees."

But here is a better example. In this country, a woman can choose to abort her unborn baby without reprehensible consequences other than spiritual remorse. But if that same woman was to crush an American Bald Eagle's egg and get caught doing so, she would be arrested and could face fines up to $10,000 and up to 3 years in a federal prison. Tell me, is this human logic? 

NOT ALL PUNDITS ARE CREATED EQUAL 

»» Neil Gerdes, Roxbury: "They are in favor of killing the unborn but they oppose killing trees." This is one of the DUMBEST comparisons I have ever seen. I do seem to see this kind of logic from many conservative commentators, which would explain a lot about the perceptions average people have about the right-wing. Let's say you want to prohibit felling trees in City Hall Park in Burlington, does this mean you oppose all lumbering? Of course not. Perhaps you should think these things through a bit more thoroughly. Thanks for the newsletter, it amuses me, like Rush does. 

NOT ALL TREES ARE CREATED EQUAL 

»» Jay Murnick, Montpelier: Is there no room in the Republican Party for people who care about protecting the environment? I've voted Republican about three-quarters of the times I've gone to the polls. While I don't always agree with environmentalists, I often do. I've hunted throughout Northern New England and New York. I grew up in Maine and bagged my first buck when I was seven. My experience tells me that reserves where timber harvesting is limited, surrounded by well managed timberlands is the best place for deer. One area provides food and the other provides shelter. That's what Champion did and I'd stay away from commenting on those issues if you know nothing about them.

I've been shocked however that James Ehlers has become the environmental voice of the Republican Party in Vermont. He is not the guy that the thoughtful people of the Dwinell Political Report should be listening to on environmental matters. Please prevent this from happening or else you'll loose a lot of voters. I know James sent out this original though (To Kill or Not To Kill) because he sent it to me as well. I hope you'll reconsider using his banter in the future. He is not detrimental to the growth of the Republican Party in Vermont, rather he will help Republicans loose more seats in the House and Senate, will prevent Republicans from ever having another Congressman or woman and will make Governor Douglas time in office short. Just look at all the backlash against the appointment of LaRoche. It's not just environmentalists that are against this guy. Ducks Unlimted and Trout Unlimited both are lobbying against him. 

I DUNNO 

»» Laura Brueckner, Waterbury Center: You seem to imply that Vermont's former governor never said "I don't know." Actually, if you watched one of his appearances on VPT, interviewed by his mostly ardent promoters, you would've heard "I don't know" and/or "I'll have to check on that" ad nauseam! I counted eight of these statements on one show before I just couldn't listen. I consider "I don't know" and/or "I'll have to check on that" Dean's theme. 

WAKE UP MAILGUY! 

»» Lawrence Auclair: It's been 2003 for awhile now!

»» Mary Schroyer, Waterbury Center: You might want to change the date in the beginning of the newsletter to reflect it is 2003. Mine comes through as 2002. Keep hustling! 

THEY LIKE US 

»» Ed Wilson, Morrisville: Thanks for the work that your do! 

I NEVER SAID I'D MARRY YOU 

"Act 60 never promised lower taxes." --Rutland Herald editorial, 1/30/03 

A BIT HYPOCRITICAL... 

"Democrats will do anything to protect a woman's right to chose but will not support her right to choose a public school for her child." --The Economist, January 18, 2003 

THE LITMUS TEST 

"Abortion politics are poisoning the appointment of lower level judges, creating ever more vacancies on the bench despite the fact that they have almost no discretion over abortion. The Senate confirmed 95% of Reagan's circuit court nominees, 86% of Clinton's and only 53% of George W. Bush's." --The Economist,January 18, 2003 

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